Hybrid Director, Forecasting Excellence

at Novartis

• Job title: Director, Forecasting Excellence
• Job type: Full Time
• Experience level: Lead
• Salary: $185,500 - $344,500 per year
• Degree requirement: Bachelor's Degree
• Location requirements: Hybrid, East Hanover, United States

About the role

• Director overseeing evidence-based long-term forecasts and insights generation in Oncology Solid Tumor therapy. Collaborating with cross-functional teams to assess key risks and opportunities in commercial forecasts.

Responsibilities

• Oversee and assess transparent, evidence-based long-term forecasts and assumptions
• Develop and maintain indication-specific and epidemiology-based sales forecasts for pipeline and in-market brands
• Work collaboratively with the Strategy & Growth (S&G), US and International (INT) teams, as well as other cross-functional partners, to ensure market insights are integrated into forecasts
• Coordinate with and obtain alignment from key stakeholders, including US & INT, on critical assumptions
• Identify key risks and opportunities inherent in the forecast and employ appropriate methodologies
• Monitor the industry to remain informed of best practices
• Consolidate and summarize sales forecast assumptions, methodology, and results to all relevant systems and platforms
• Provide forecast models, assumption guidance, and training to S&G, US, INT colleagues and priority country teams
• Coach and mentor junior colleagues

Requirements

• Bachelor’s degree in Science/Economics/Statistics/Engineering/Business/related field required; MBA or advanced degree in one or more fields strongly preferred
• Minimum 7 years of experience in Biotech/Pharmaceutical industry, life sciences consulting with commercial assessment experience; in-market commercial, finance, or new product planning experience strongly preferred
• Direct experience in assessing and forecasting oncology solid tumor projects
• Familiarity with epidemiology sources, IQVIA, Evaluate Pharma, claims, and other standard pharmaceutical data
• Experience incorporating big data analytics, competitive intelligence, primary & secondary market research into forecast models
• Comfortable with identifying and implementing AI solutions where appropriate
• Strong understanding of forecast methodologies, including expertise in patient-based forecast modelling, risk simulation (i.e. monte carlo)
• Expertise in translating inputs from cross-functional business partners into forecast model assumptions
• Demonstrated ability to work independently with minimal direction
• Strong project management skills, with the ability to manage multiple projects simultaneously
• Effective team building and consulting skills, with demonstrated ability to work collaboratively in cross-functional teams
• Excellent written, verbal, and presentation skills

Benefits

• health, life and disability benefits
• 401(k) with company contribution and match
• generous time off package including vacation, personal days, holidays and other leaves
• performance-based cash incentive